Bracketology Seed List For Monday, March 4, 2019

Thanks to Sunday’s win at Marquette, Creighton is back in the NCAA hunt.

The Big East is dominating the cut line at the moment.

Notes:

  • Auto bid holders in this section are noted by the conference names in parentheses.
  • Arrows indicate movement up or down the seed list (down to the spot on the seed list). This is relative to Sunday’s list.
  • New entrants are marked with an asterisk.
  • For at-large candidates only, the numbers in parentheses after the team’s name are as follows: record vs. D1 opposition/record in Group 1 and Group 2 games/record in Group 1 games only. Overall records and NET data reflect games played through Sunday, March 3. I pulled the quality win info from WarrenNolan.com’s selection sheets.

No. 1 Seeds

(1) Virginia Cavaliers (ACC) (26-2/14/9) – WASHINGTON, D.C. – Columbus 1
(2) Gonzaga Bulldogs (WCC) (29-2/12/4) – ANAHEIM – Salt Lake City 1
(3) Duke Blue Devils (25-4/14/8) – LOUISVILLE – Columbia 1
(4) Kentucky Wildcats (24-5/14/9) – KANSAS CITY – Columbus 2

No. 2 Seeds

(5) North Carolina Tar Heels (24-5/14/8) – KANSAS CITY – Columbia 2
(6) Tennessee Volunteers (25-3/12/7) – LOUISVILLE – Jacksonville 1
(7) Michigan Wolverines (26-4/17/8) – WASHINGTON, D.C. – Des Moines 1
(8) Michigan State Spartans (23-6/14/10) – ANAHEIM – Des Moines 2

No. 3 Seeds

(9) LSU Tigers (SEC) (24-5/16/9) – WASHINGTON, D.C. – Tulsa 1
(10) Kansas Jayhawks (22-7/15/10) – KANSAS CITY – Tulsa 2
(11) Purdue Boilermakers (Big Ten) (22-7/15/7) – LOUISVILLE – Jacksonville 2
(12) Houston Cougars (American) (27-2/13/4) – ANAHEIM – Salt Lake City 2

The top 12 remain in the same order as on Sunday, even with Michigan’s impressive road win over Maryland—with Charles Matthews missing for the second consecutive game.

No. 4 Seeds

(13) Texas Tech Red Raiders (24-5/14/5) – LOUISVILLE – San José 1
(↑14) Virginia Tech Hokies (22-6/10/4) – ANAHEIM – Hartford 1
(↓15) Marquette Golden Eagles (23-6/14/9) – KANSAS CITY – Hartford 2
(16) Kansas State Wildcats (Big 12) (22-7/11/6) – WASHINGTON, D.C. – San José 2

Marquette remains on line No. 4 even after Sunday’s home loss to Creighton. However, Virginia Tech jumped them on the seed list. But with both teams needing to stay in the same positions as on Sunday’s list because of bracketing rules, all this change did was balance the regions out a little more.

No. 5 Seeds

(17) Florida State Seminoles (23-6/11/5)
(18) Wisconsin Badgers (20-9/13/8)
(↑19) Villanova Wildcats (Big East) (22-8/15/4)
(↑20) Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-8/11/8)

Thanks to Marquette’s loss, Villanova again has a decent shot at winning at least a share of the Big East title. The Wildcats are a half-game up on the Golden Eagles in the standings, so they take over the auto bid for the moment. They also move up a bit on the five line, with Mississippi State jumping up from line six to replace Maryland.

No. 6 Seeds

(↓21) Maryland Terrapins (21-9/12/6)
(22) Cincinnati Bearcats (25-4/10/4)
(↑23) Wofford Terriers (SoCon) (23-4/7/3)
(↓24) Nevada Wolf Pack (26-3/8/1)

As of this morning’s update, Wofford is now 14th in the NET, so if that metric means anything, the Terriers have to be reaching lock status.

No. 7 Seeds

(25) Buffalo Bulls (MAC) (25-3/7/2)
(26) Iowa State Cyclones (20-9/9/5)
(27) Iowa Hawkeyes (21-8/11/4)
(28) VCU Rams (A 10) (23-6/6/2)

No. 8 Seeds

(29) Baylor Bears (19-10/12/4)
(30) Auburn Tigers (19-9/11/2)
(31) Ole Miss Rebels (19-10/7/4)
(32) Syracuse Orange (19-10/8/3)

No. 9 Seeds

(33) Washington Huskies (Pac-12) (23-6/8/2)
(34) Louisville Cardinals (19-11/8/4)
(35) Oklahoma Sooners (18-11/9/3)
(36) UCF Knights (22-6/7/1)

Both Washington and Louisville won yesterday, but didn’t budge as a result. The Huskies escaped Stanford, the NET’s 100th-ranked team, by the skin of their teeth, 62-61. As for the Cardinals, they did what they needed to do, handling disappointing Notre Dame, 75-61, for a home Quad 3 win.

No. 10 Seeds

(37) Utah State Aggies (MW) (23-6/4/2)
(38) Texas Longhorns (16-13/9/5)
(39) Ohio State Buckeyes (18-11/8/4)
(↑40) Florida Gators (17-12/8/3)

Florida slides up one spot, and back to the 10 line, thanks to St. John’s loss at DePaul.

No. 11 Seeds

(↑41) N.C. State Wolfpack (20-9/7/2)
(↑42) TCU Horned Frogs (18-11/7/2)
(↑43) Belmont Bruins (OVC) (24-4/5/2)
(↑44) Arizona State Sun Devils (20-9/10/3)

It was Survival Sunday in the Pac-12, as Arizona State left Corvallis with a gutsy 74-71 win over Oregon State, a result that put Bobby Hurley’s team in the driver’s seat for the No. 2 seed in the Pac-12 Tournament.

No. 12 Seeds

(45) Lipscomb Bisons (ASUN) (21-6/3/2)
(↑46) Minnesota Golden Gophers (18-11/9/2)
(47 – First Four) (↓47 – First Four) St. John’s Red Storm (20-10/10/6)
(48 – First Four) Clemson Tigers (17-12/5/1)
(49 – First Four) Temple Owls (20-8/6/1)
(50 – First Four) Alabama Crimson Tide (17-12/9/2)

The big change here is St. John’s relegation to the First Four, as the DePaul Blue Demons swept the season series with the Red Storm courtesy of a 92-83 victory in Chicago. While Chris Mullin’s team has three wins over the conference’s two NCAA locks and victories over VCU and a 5-4 mark against the league’s copious supply of bubble teams, being swept by both DePaul and Providence and a weak non-conference schedule really hurt their case.

First Four Out (NIT No. 1 Seeds)

(69) Seton Hall Pirates (16-12/10/4)
(↑70) Indiana Hoosiers (15-14/7/6)
(↑71) Creighton Bluejays (15-13/9/3)
(↓72) Georgetown Hoyas (18-11/9/3)

Next Four Out

(↓73) Xavier Musketeers (16-13/9/3)
(↓74) Furman Paladins (21-6/4/1)
(↓75) Oregon Ducks (17-12/4/1)
(↓76) Murray State Racers (23-4/1/0)

With Creighton following Indiana in becoming a “zombie bubble team” this weekend, the first eight out is a Big East party today. So, festivities at Madison Square Garden next week will be quite entertaining with those storylines playing out. The Liberty Flames (22-6/2/1) drop out of the group as a result of the Bluejays’ return.

No. 13 Seeds

(51) New Mexico State Aggies (WAC)
(52) Old Dominion Monarchs (C-USA)
(53) Vermont Catamounts (America East)
(54) Hofstra Pride (CAA)

No. 14 Seeds

(55) UC Irvine Anteaters (Big West)
(56) South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Summit)
(57) Harvard Crimson (Ivy)
(58) Montana Grizzlies (Big Sky)

No. 15 Seeds

(59) Georgia State Panthers (Sun Belt)
(60) Loyola Chicago Ramblers (MVC)
(61) Wright State Raiders (Horizon)
(62) Colgate Raiders (Patriot)

No. 16 Seeds

(63) Sam Houston State Bearkats (Southland)
(64) Campbell Fighting Camels (Big South)
(65 – First Four) Iona Gaels (MAAC)
(66 – First Four) Prairie View A&M Panthers (SWAC)
(67 – First Four) Norfolk State Spartans (MEAC)
(68 – First Four) St. Francis (Pa.) Red Flash (NEC)

Of the final 18 teams in the field, New Mexico State, Old Dominion, Vermont, Hofstra, UC Irvine, South Dakota State, Loyola Chicago, Wright State, Colgate, Sam Houston State, Campbell, and St. Francis (Pa.) have all secured the top seeds in their conference tournaments.

Conference Ranking With Seeds

Note: Auto bid holders are denoted by asterisks.

ACC (9): 1. Virginia*, 1. Duke, 2. North Carolina, 4. Virginia Tech, 5. Florida State, 8. Syracuse, 9. Louisville, 11. N.C. State, 12. Clemson (First Four)
Big 12 (8): 3. Kansas, 4. Texas Tech, 4. Kansas State*, 7. Iowa State, 8. Baylor, 9. Oklahoma, 10. Texas, 11. TCU
Big Ten (8): 2. Michigan, 2. Michigan State, 3. Purdue*, 5. Wisconsin, 6. Maryland, 7. Iowa, 10. Ohio State, 12. Minnesota
SEC (8): 1. Kentucky, 2. Tennessee, 3. LSU*, 5. Mississippi State, 8. Auburn, 8. Ole Miss, 10. Florida, 12. Alabama (First Four)
American Athletic (4): 3. Houston*, 6. Cincinnati, 9. UCF, 12. Temple (First Four)
Big East (3): 4. Marquette, 5. Villanova*, 12. St. John’s (First Four)
MW (2): 6. Nevada, 10. Utah State*
Pac-12 (2): 9. Washington*, 11. Arizona State

Auto Bid Selection Procedures

If a team has already clinched the top seed in its conference tournament, it will be the league rep here until eliminated in said event. For every other league, I’m still using each conference’s tiebreaker procedures to determine auto bid holders.

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About the Author: Taylor Coburn

Hi my name is Taylor C Copburn I love to play the odds and beat the point spread on NFL, NCAA and NBA games. Breaking down the risk value and finding the angle to collect on my wagers.

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