As the clock ticks down to next week’s highly anticipated battle for the UFC lightweight title between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Conor McGregor, Khabib continues to lead the way as a solid -155 favorite on the UFC 229 odds.
8 Key Factors to Know About Khabib vs. McGregor
Here are eight things you need to know before placing your bets on the Khabib vs. McGregor betting matchup on October 6 at T-Mobile Arena.
A Notoriously Long Layoff
It has been almost two years since McGregor last competed in the UFC. While “The Notorious” will be healthy and rested in his bid to regain the UFC lightweight crown, he has proven to be extremely effective with a heavy workload, including a stretch of six consecutive opening-round wins in a span of six months early in his career.
Power Versus Endurance
One of the most effective strikers in UFC history, McGregor has claimed 18 of his 24 career victories by KO or TKO. Conversely, Khabib has regularly gone the distance, with six of his 10 UFC fights getting decided by the judges, including his unanimous decision win over Al Iaquinta on -700 odds at UFC 223 to claim the UFC lightweight title.
Submission Key to Success
Khabib is pegged as a strong +205 wager on the UFC 229 betting lines to earn his ninth career submission victory. That is bad news for McGregor, whose three previous pro MMA losses have all come by submission, including his second-round loss to welterweight Nate Diaz at UFC 196 as -400 chalk.
A Rare Title Defense
This marks the first time either of these fighters has ever defended a UFC title. For Khabib, the fight marks his first-ever title defense. McGregor previously held both the UFC featherweight and lightweight crowns, but relinquished both belts without ever defending them.
Limited Championship Round Experience
With a lack of title defenses comes a lack of championship round experience. Khabib’s win over Iaquinta marks his only fight to go beyond three rounds, while McGregor’s majority win in his rematch with Diaz at UFC 202 was just his second pro fight to go at least three full rounds.
Undefeated but Unheralded
Khabib owns an unblemished 26-0 pro MMA record, but has earned just one UFC performance bonus, claiming Performance of the Night honors in his unanimous decision win over Edson Barbosa at UFC 219 as a -360 favorite. Conversely, McGregor has picked up bonuses in each of his past eight outings, including Fight of the Night honors in each of his epic clashes with Diaz.
No Common Opponents
Khabib and McGregor have no history of fighting common opponents, due to McGregor’s extended tenure in the featherweight division, while Khabib has fought steadily as a lightweight. However, McGregor has proven capable of packing on weight as needed, weighing in at a hefty 168.5 pounds ahead of his second date with Diaz at UFC 202.
Notorious a Rare Underdog
McGregor will enter the cage as a betting underdog for just the second time since joining the UFC in 2013. The Notorious was pegged as a -105 underdog when he knocked out Jose Aldo in a record time of 13 seconds to win the UFC featherweight title at UFC 194, and has not previously sported positive odds in a UFC clash.
*Bovada Odds as of September 25, 2018
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