In regards to sheer numbers, no sport matches the chance, intrigue, deepness of high quality, or countless variety involved with college basketball betting. Almost every day of the week, from mid-November through to March, wagerers and sportsbooks match bankrolls on the hardwood luck of 235 groups in greater than a dozen conferences.
While number crunching and comprehensive evaluation are vital tools in a bettors approach to being successful at college basketball betting, a level of “fine art” compliments the “science” as well and is valuable, too.
The successful wagerer recognizes that subjective evaluation of a variety of other factors also has to be considered.
Let’s take a look at a few of these aspects:
Teeming with teams: Competition all but mandates that a sportsbook posts prices on over 200 groups, (as compared to 30 NBA clubs) giving the bettor with much more options. For bettors, it’s a lot much easier to find a bad number among 100 games compared to finding one among 13 or 14.
Home, sweet home: Sure, the home court is a factor in NBA play yet it’s the tiring trip connected with getting to the game that puts the visiting team at a disadvantage in the pro rankings. For that reason, NBA spreads are affected much more by timetable than by the home court advantage. Given that NCAA teams only play around 30 games a year, prolonged road trips aren’t a factor in university play. However, with its requisite contingent of shouting, sign-waving pupils, the home court really does hold an advantage in college basketball betting. As a matter of fact, the home court can be such a benefit that there could be as much as a 10-point swing in home-and-home series point spreads.
Morale: A much shorter timetable and more heated rivalries, particularly within seminars or states, almost assures that emotion, particularly when you’re talking impressionable teenagers, will certainly play as a betting feature in university basketball compared to in the NBA. Because of that, evaluating a group’s morale can be a crucial factor.
Vengeance: Another aspect unique to college basketball is revenge. A team that lost to an opponent is problematic to tame the second time around. This is a circumstance that plays itself out in conference play, where splits are more common compared to sweeps.
Freshmen: Time was that freshman sat on the pine and waited their turn. Nowadays, if you’re good enough to play, coaches put you in the game. Interestingly, the development of freshmen as major factors has required sportsbooks as well as wagerers to track the professions of secondary school senior citizens, checking their college choices and examining the effect they may have on those programs. Ohio State, which landed treasured facility Greg Oden, North Carolina, Texas, Connecticut, Duke, Tennessee, Washington, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Wake Forest, Stanford and Kansas are amongst the schools whose recruiting loots might have a sizable influence on their fortunes this season.
Given that no sport is as effected by a solitary player than basketball, every brand-new addition– freshman, junior college or transfer– has the opportunity to alter the dynamic of the team. Would a running back have the same influence on a College football team?
Three-for-all: Further complicating the oddsmaking and betting equation is that university basketball is a lot more like a three-act play than a continuing season.
Act I starts in mid-November and continues until the end of the year when teams play most of their non-conference games. For teams still seeking an identity, this is a chance for trial and error with different line ups and strategies, a time of growing pains that frequently are mirrored by the pointspread. Other teams with more seasoned players have a noticeable benefit in cohesiveness. After all, basketball is a team sport.
Act II starts with the tip-off of the conference schedule, which starts in January. Teams should have mended the kinks by now and will be generally ready to face a collection of challengers with whom they have some understanding. The groups might play each other as many as two or three times each period– twice in conference play and also possibly again in the league’s competition– and also coaches recognize each other and their favored style of play. There are few surprises and, except for those events when the very best teams are playing the really worst teams, close games prevail.
For the successful, the winning line will appear that bit nearer as Act III begins, the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, in March. It is the unforeseeable nature of the “Big Dance,” the convergence of teams that have as much alike as Rick Majerus and hair spray, makings “March Madness” the oddsmaking and sports betting obstacle that it is. As a result of its individuality, wager molds and bet takers approach the competition both respectful and cautious of a completely various set of aspects that rarely enter play throughout university basketball’s regular season. We’ll analyze that element of college basketball betting next spring.